With so many releases on the horizon “wannabe” and “OG” resale peeps should be very careful. One poor choice and gamble on a large number of kicks could hinder your growth immediately. For collectors this is the time of year where being a diverse sneakerhead is to your benefit. If you miss out on a coveted pair, you can pass and grab something else just as dope. It’s the perfect time to love sneakers when the big boys begin dumping product for the holidays. The Retro 1 is always a prized possession and with Retro and Runners running the market, the Black Toe which currently garners a healthy return on your investment will remain a good one, right? Let’s dig in to the madness:
I’ve carried every Retro 1 OG High this year, except the alternate SB. They have all done more than a 100% return on the dollar. I don’t think the numbers will be as good for the Black Toe, but they should rate high.
Since I do 3 checks before my decision I will weight them on a scale of 1-9. The max points on a scale = +3
*** New addition to the rating system: 0-25% = +1 26-55% = +2 56% and up is +3
First check: I hit Flight Club first. Today is 10/26/2016. FC does not have the 2016 Black Toe. They do have the 2013 pair and they have a full size run. The prices range on the 2013 from 300-600.00. Will the 2016 affect this pricing? I think so, but it will only bring down the ridiculous pricing on the shoes and I don’t think the kicks will drop below 300.00. Actually as I dug a little deeper (should’ve used the search button anyway) FC does have the Black Toe and like I said it is priced from 300-400. At 160.00 plus tax this still places the Black Toe in the coveted +3 ROI.
Rating = +3
Second check: eBay has always been a pirate’s wasteland full of Blackbeard’s and Sneaks. The Retro 1 is a shoe that is always knocked off and unlike Flight Club there isn’t any certainty about your pairs unless your seller has over 100 feedback and no negative comments. Even then you can’t be sure. It takes trust. eBay is also the place where a lot of dudes who get kicks early by purchase or by five finger discounts drop shoes and they skew the price in crazy directions. Right now there are a lot of sales on the Black Toe. They range from 189-399. The point is though that there are a number of sales and the demand is already high. Be careful who you buy from, but those of you flipping have to be happy with the average price on eBay. Those 189s though… Suspect.
Rating = +3
Third check: My third check is always looking for the hype on a shoe, or checking the inventory to see how limited this shoe will be. The hype train has been big for a while. I don’t even have to check. The Footlocker and Footaction launch locators aren’t active, but I don’t need that input right now. I have spoken with local managers and they all say they are getting the release so while it will be a GR, I don’t think it will be a big GR since the shoes aren’t even in stores. You may have to get up early to grab the pairs you want. Either way, this is going to be a solid release.
Rating = +3
Should you buy to flip?
My total on a scale of 9 is a +9. Jordan Brand should really take note of the market and see how well the Retro 1 performs. That 160.00 dollar price point is golden, but Nike never leaves money on the table. They grab every penny and when they don’t they get it when they move the product back to their own stores. The Black Toe is a classic and will make both resale and sneakerheads happy. Good luck on your hunt and be safe.
More pics below: